Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Lille

Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Lille had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lille
52.63% ( 0.45)	23.34% ( -0.05)	24.03% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.16)

44.54% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.16)

66.9% (

0.15)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08% (

0.1)

16.91% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.02% (

0.18)

46.97% (

-0.19)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

-0.42)

32.45% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03% (

-0.48)

68.97% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 52.63%

Lille 24.03%

Draw 23.33%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.63%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.03%