Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Orleans had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Orleans win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.