Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.