Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 0
Lille

Jullien (26'), Savanier (61'), Khazri (62'), Coulibaly (63')

Fonseca (31'), Bouaddi (37'), Santos (66')
Bouaddi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Racing Colombes 92 0-1 Lille
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
21.72% ( -0.03)	23.97% ( -0.01)	54.3% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.22% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35% (

0.01)

49.65% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33% (

0.02)

71.66% (

-0.01)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.6% (

-0.02)

37.39% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.82% (

-0.02)

74.17% (

0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

0.02)

18.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

0.04)

49.18% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 21.72%

Lille 54.3%

Draw 23.97%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.72%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.3%