Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
4 - 0
Clermont

David (10', 38'), Andre (24'), Zhegrova (40')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Nicholson (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Clermont
67.99% ( 0.27)	19.26% ( -0)	12.74% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

-0.6)

44.74% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

-0.58)

67.1% (

0.58)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0.1)

12.13% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28% (

-0.21)

37.72% (

0.21)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.37% (

-0.79)

45.63% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.57% (

-0.63)

81.43% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Lille 67.98%

Clermont 12.74%

Draw 19.26%

Lille	Draw	Clermont
2-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.23% Total : 67.98%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.26%	0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.74%