Coupe de France | Round of 32

Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
1 - 3
Strasbourg

Zeffane (88')
Keita (52'), Ogier (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sylla (32'), Diarra (48'), Bakwa (60')
Guilbert (45+2'), Emegha (73'), Doukoure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Clermont and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Clermont
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Strasbourg
32.15% ( -0.6)	25.82% ( -0.04)	42.02% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

0.01)

50.12% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

0.01)

72.09% (

-0.02)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

-0.39)

29.29% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-0.48)

65.26% (

0.48)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

0.33)

23.66% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.23% (

0.47)

57.76% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Clermont 32.15%

Strasbourg 42.02%

Draw 25.81%

Clermont	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.15%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.02%