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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lens logo

Lille
2 - 1
Lens

Zhegrova (9', 60')
Andre (52'), Zhegrova (64'), Bentaleb (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wahi (78')
Medina (35'), Wahi (64'), Costa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawLens
54.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)23.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)21.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (0.004999999999999 0)69.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.0020000000000095 0)17.07% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.26% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.62% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.76%
    Lens 21.84%
    Draw 23.38%
LilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.84%

How you voted: Lille vs Lens

Lille
49.4%
Draw
40.5%
Lens
10.1%
79
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 8pm
Round of 32
Lens
2-2
Lille
 Lens win 4-3 on penalties
Fofana (67', 90+5')
Fofana (90+5')
Onana (28', 33')
Mandava (72'), Grbic (90')