Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 3
Monaco

Wahi (31'), Said (77')
Haise (26'), Medina (45+3'), Thomasson (53'), Mendy (64'), Samba (82'), Wahi (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Balogun (19'), Samba (30' og.), Minamino (90+2')
Ouattara (25'), Majecki (90+6'), Diop (90+5'), Majecki (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Lens
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Monaco
44.81% ( 0.13)	24.19% ( 0.14)	31% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 58.98% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63% (

-0.75)

43.37% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23% (

-0.74)

65.77% (

0.75)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

-0.25)

19.53% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

-0.41)

51.43% (

0.41)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

-0.54)

26.71% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03% (

-0.72)

61.97% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Lens 44.81%

Monaco 31%

Draw 24.19%

Lens	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.81%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31%