Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 2
Monaco

Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Monaco
53.39% ( 0.02)	22.17% ( -0.01)	24.44% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.67% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.25% (

0.03)

38.74% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.95% (

0.03)

61.05% (

-0.03)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

0.02)

14.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.34% (

0.03)

42.66% (

-0.03)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02%

28.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

64.86%

Score Analysis

Marseille 53.4%

Monaco 24.44%

Draw 22.16%

Marseille	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.4%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.44%