Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Paul Lignon
Monaco

Rodez AF
1 - 3
Monaco

Mambo (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ben Yedder (10' pen., 50', 58')
Ben Yedder (11'), Kehrer (28'), Ouattara (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Rodez AF and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodez AF

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Rodez AF 2-1 Pau
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Monaco

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-3 Reims
Saturday, January 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Rodez AFDrawMonaco
31.3% (-0.064 -0.06)24.01% (0.058 0.06)44.68% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (-0.294 -0.29)42.4% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19% (-0.294 -0.29)64.8% (0.295 0.3)
Rodez AF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.182 -0.18)26.04% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (-0.249 -0.25)61.07% (0.251 0.25)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (-0.116 -0.12)19.19% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (-0.192 -0.19)50.87% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Rodez AF 31.3%
    Monaco 44.68%
    Draw 24%
Rodez AFDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 44.68%

How you voted: Rodez AF vs Monaco

Rodez AF
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Monaco
80.0%
5