/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
-
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
84'
-
Jonathan Gradit
29'
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Florian Sotoca
43'
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Elye Wahi
53'
-
Kevin Danso
83'
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Kevin Danso
87'
Lyon vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Flyon.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Lyon
36.02%
▼
(-1.27)
Draw
25.87%
▲
(+0.22)
Lens
38.11%
▲
(+1.06)
Both Teams to Score:
54.64%
▼
(-0.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.36%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 2.5
49.64%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 3.5
28.34%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 3.5
71.66%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 4.5
13.54%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 4.5
86.46%
▲
(+0.62)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
73.33%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 0.5
26.67%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 1.5
38.09%
▼
(-1.60)
Under 1.5
61.91%
▲
(+1.60)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
74.51%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
25.49%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
39.67%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
60.33%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
Lyon
36.02%
Draw
25.87%
Lens
38.11%
Lyon
1-0
@
8.98%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.02%
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.02%
Draw
1-1
@
12.28%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.87%
0-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.87%
Lens
0-1
@
9.29%
▲
(+0.41)
1-2 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 38.11%
1-2 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 38.11%