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Ligue 1

Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Lyon

Metz
1 - 2
Lyon

Mikautadze (13')
Camara (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lacazette (45+1'), Benrahma (60')
Mata (73'), O'Brien (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Nice
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawLyon
26.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)27.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.022999999999996 0.02)58.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.023 0.02)74.73% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)24.94% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)59.57% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Metz 26.22%
    Lyon 46.59%
    Draw 27.18%
MetzDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.59%

How you voted: Metz vs Lyon

Metz
16.1%
Draw
8.0%
Lyon
75.9%
87
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 11
Lyon
1-1
Metz
Alvero (84')
Diomande (19')
Jallow (77')
Van Den Kerkhof (88')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 36
Metz
3-2
Lyon
Pajot (27'), Lamkel Ze (40'), Boulaya (90')
Niakate (70'), Traore (74'), de Preville (88')
Dembele (43', 84')
Ndombele (86'), Dubois (90+2')
Mendes (68')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lyon
1-1
Metz
Lukeba (56')
Caqueret (30'), Da Silva (39')
Traore (59')
Jemerson (34'), Maiga (68'), Salif Mbengue (84')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
0-1
Metz

Dubois (27')
Leya Iseka (90')
Boye (27'), Centonze (27'), Kouyate (86'), Leya Iseka (90')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Metz
1-3
Lyon
Boulaya (76')
Sarr (29'), Antonetti (55')
Boye (87')
Depay (17'), Toko Ekambi (47', 60')
Cherki (90+3')
> Preview