/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmetlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
-
Georges Mikautadze
13'
-
Lamine Camara
81'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
45'+1'
-
Said Benrahma
60'
-
Clinton Mata
73'
-
Jake O'Brien
87'
Metz vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Metz
26.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
27.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Lyon
46.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
58.09%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
21.24%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
78.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
9.06%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
90.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
62.04%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
37.96%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
25.27%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
74.73%
▼
(-0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
75.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
24.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
40.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
59.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Metz
26.22%
Draw
27.18%
Lyon
46.59%
Metz
1-0
@
9.17%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.22%
2-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.22%
Draw
1-1
@
12.73%
0-0 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
0-0 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
Lyon
0-1
@
13.14%
▼
(-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.59%
0-2 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.59%
Thiago Mendes
68'