Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
1 - 2
Lorient

Lamkel Ze (22')
N'Doram (19'), Jean Jacques (77'), Colin (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bamba (19'), Katseris (58')
Mendy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 3-3 Le Havre
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Lorient
48.54% ( 0.3)	26.35% ( -0.05)	25.12% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 47.98% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

0.02)

55.8% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

0.02)

76.93% (

-0.02)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

0.15)

23.03% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

0.21)

56.85% (

-0.22)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

-0.2)

37.66% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

-0.2)

74.44% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Metz 48.53%

Lorient 25.12%

Draw 26.34%

Metz	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.53%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.12%