/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Florilog_1.png)
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Kamory Doumbia
22'
-
Kamory Doumbia
25'
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Kamory Doumbia
29'
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Kamory Doumbia
45'+3'
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Lilian Brassier
87'
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Eli Junior Kroupi
70'
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Igor Silva
86'
Brest vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F44%2Fbrest.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result
Brest
53.94%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
24.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Lorient
21.95%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
51.12%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.06%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
49.93%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
28.08%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
71.92%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 4.5
13.36%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
86.63%
▼
(-0.12)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
81.57%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
18.42%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
50.4%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
49.59%
▼
(-0.24)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
62.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
37.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
25.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
74.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Brest
53.94%
Draw
24.1%
Lorient
21.95%
Brest
1-0
@
11.63%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.94%
2-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.94%
Draw
1-1
@
11.46%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.1%
0-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.1%
Lorient
0-1
@
6.78%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.95%
