Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
4 - 0
Lorient

Doumbia (22', 25', 29', 45+3')
Brassier (87')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Junior Kroupi (70'), Silva (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lorient
53.94% ( 0.18)	24.1% ( -0.07)	21.95% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

0.19)

49.93% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08% (

0.17)

71.92% (

-0.17)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

0.14)

18.42% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.4% (

0.23)

49.59% (

-0.23)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

37.33% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

74.11% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Brest 53.94%

Lorient 21.95%

Draw 24.1%

Brest	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.94%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.95%