Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
3 - 3
Le Havre

Louza (33'), Kari (51'), Bamba (90+2')
Katseris (17'), Le Bris (36'), Ponceau (42'), Louza (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sabbi (15' pen.), Ayew (85', 90+4')
Youte Kinkoue (26'), Sabbi (43'), Kechta (48'), Operi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-0 Lorient
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Chateauroux 0-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Le Havre
33.09% ( 0.17)	26.29% ( 0.02)	40.62% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

-0.03)

51.83% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

-0.02)

73.59% (

0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

0.1)

29.52% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

0.12)

65.54% (

-0.13)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-0.11)

25.14% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-0.16)

59.85% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Lorient 33.09%

Le Havre 40.61%

Draw 26.28%

Lorient	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.09%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.61%