Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.