Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Gaston Petit
Le Havre

Chateauroux
0 - 1
Le Havre


Mille (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ngoura (45+1')
Youte Kinkoue (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Chateauroux and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chateauroux

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Les Herbiers 2-2 Chateauroux (3-3 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Le Havre

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 46.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Le Havre.

Result
ChateaurouxDrawLe Havre
26.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)27.16% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)46.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)57.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)78.46% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Chateauroux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.018999999999991 0.02)25.01% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.67% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chateauroux 26.73%
    Le Havre 46.1%
    Draw 27.16%
ChateaurouxDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.93%
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.1%

How you voted: Chateauroux vs Le Havre

Chateauroux
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Le Havre
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Chateauroux
0-1
Le Havre

Sidibe (23'), Tamas (66')
Bonnet (66' pen.)
Alioui (50'), Lekhal (63')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
1-1
Chateauroux
Bentil (8')
Ersoy (54'), Fontaine (65')
Sunu (16')
Sangante (29'), Mulumba (58')
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 27
Chateauroux
0-3
Le Havre

Goncalves (83')
Kadewere (3'), Thiare (13'), Ebimbe (90' pen.)
Meras (15')
Sep 27, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-1
Chateauroux

Bonnet (53')
Meras (69')
Goncalves Pereira (92')
Sangante (6'), Cordoval (33'), M'Bone (59'), Mulumba (68')
Cordoval (69')
Apr 26, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 35
Chateauroux
1-0
Le Havre
Chouaref (47')
Sangante (10'), Goba (90')
Chouaref (81')

Yago (52')
Bazile (81')