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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Metz logo

Marseille
1 - 1
Metz

Moumbagna (56')
Onana (82'), Clauss (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Udol (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Metz

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawMetz
68.46% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)18.44% (0.02 0.02)13.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (0.046999999999997 0.05)40.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (0.048999999999999 0.05)62.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)10.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.62% (0.012 0.01)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84% (0.116 0.12)42.15% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.102 0.1)78.57% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 68.45%
    Metz 13.1%
    Draw 18.44%
MarseilleDrawMetz
2-0 @ 11.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 68.45%
1-1 @ 8.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.44%
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 13.1%

How you voted: Marseille vs Metz

Marseille
85.2%
Draw
10.2%
Metz
4.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Metz
2-2
Marseille
Sabaly (65'), Mikautadze (71')
N'Doram (9'), Boloni (55+55'), Mbaye (90'), Oukidja (90+8')
Lo (59')
Soglo (14'), Oliveira (82')
Lodi (49'), Veretout (85')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Metz
1-2
Marseille
Maiga (52')
Pajot (19'), Traore (45+1')
Bakambu (26'), Milik (82')
Bakambu (71'), Payet (87')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
0-0
Metz
Caleta-Car (71')
N'Doram (13'), Kouyate (36'), Oukidja (90+7')
Jemerson (56')
> Preview
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Metz
1-1
Marseille
Boulaya (90+7' pen.)
Bronn (36'), Sarr (42'), Ambrose (54')
Milik (90+14' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Payet (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Marseille
1-1
Metz
Sanson (90+5')
Niane (71')
Maiga (24'), Angban (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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