Ligue 1
Gameweek
22
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-
Issiaga Sylla
3'
-
Boubakar Kouyate
13'
-
Modibo Sagnan
30'
-
Modibo Sagnan
50'
-
Becir Omeragic
69'
-
Teji Savanier
86'
-
Laszlo Boloni
14'
-
Joel Asoro
78'
-
Fali Cande
83'
-
Lamine Camara
90'+4'
Montpellier HSC vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result
Montpellier HSC
45.3%
▲
(+0.47)
Draw
25.37%
▲
(+0.25)
Metz
29.33%
▼
(-0.72)
Both Teams to Score:
54.07%
▼
(-1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.62%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 2.5
49.38%
▲
(+1.41)
Over 3.5
28.58%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 3.5
71.42%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 4.5
13.7%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 4.5
86.3%
▲
(+0.88)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
78.21%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
21.79%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
45.01%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
54.99%
▲
(+0.58)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
69.14%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 0.5
30.86%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 1.5
32.86%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 1.5
67.14%
▲
(+1.47)
Score analysis
Montpellier HSC
45.29%
Draw
25.36%
Metz
29.33%
Montpellier HSC
1-0
@
10.24%
▲
(+0.46)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.29%
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.29%
Draw
1-1
@
12.04%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.36%
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.36%
Metz
0-1
@
7.91%
▲
(+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.33%
1-2 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.33%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
16
-
Pape Diallo
53'
-
Matthieu Udol
90'+2'
-
Maxime Esteve
9'
-
Christopher Jullien
74'
-
Benjamin Lecomte
85'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
35
-
Ambroise Oyongo
29'
-
Leo Leroy
58'
-
Arnaud Souquet
79'
-
Elye Wahi
90'+1'
-
Thomas Delaine
24'
-
Vincent Pajot
51'
-
Pape Sarr
66'
-
Didier Lamkel Ze
68'
-
Louis Mafouta
70'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
16
-
Pape Sarr
34'
-
Dylan Bronn
36'
-
Nicolas de Preville
70'
-
Teji Savanier
36'
-
Stephy Mavididi
45'+1'
-
Elye Wahi
48'
-
Florent Mollet
72'
-
Mihailo Ristic
83'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
23
-
John Boye
9'
-
Aaron Leya Iseka
33'
-
Pape Sarr
47'
-
Habib Maiga
74'
-
Fabien Centonze
76'
-
Dylan Bronn
82'
-
Thierry Ambrose
90'+1'
-
Daniel Congre
58'
-
Gaetan Laborde
70'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
15
-
Florent Mollet
39'
-
Stephy Mavididi
64'
-
Gaetan Laborde
76'
-
Aaron Leya Iseka
7'
-
Habib Maiga
30'
-
Thomas Delaine
38'
-
Aaron Leya Iseka
50'
-
Frederic Antonetti
65'
-
Habib Maiga
90'+1'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
23
-
Teji Savanier
13'
-
Arnaud Souquet
14'
-
Jordan Ferri
39'
-
Kevin N'Doram
64'
-
Farid Boulaya
79'