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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Nice

Lyon
1 - 0
Nice

Mangala (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndayishimiye (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, February 11 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawNice
32.28% (0.032000000000004 0.03)25.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.4% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)47.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (0.020000000000003 0.02)63.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)22.54% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)56.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 32.28%
    Nice 42.4%
    Draw 25.32%
LyonDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon
45.8%
Draw
32.1%
Nice
22.1%
131
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
0-0
Lyon
Ndayishimiye (32')
Tagliafico (90'), Caleta-Car (90+2'), Alvero (90+5'), Alvero (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Nice
3-1
Lyon
Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
> Preview