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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Nice

Brest
0 - 0
Nice


Lees-Melou (45'), Camara (55'), Chardonnet (76')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-2 Brest
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawNice
40.06% (-0.163 -0.16)27.51% (-0.038 -0.04)32.42% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.191 0.19)56.81% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.151 0.15)77.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.23699999999999 0.24)32.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.267 0.27)69.02% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Brest 40.05%
    Nice 32.42%
    Draw 27.51%
BrestDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.42%

How you voted: Brest vs Nice

Brest
66.1%
Draw
25.0%
Nice
8.9%
56
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nice
0-0
Brest
Atal (59')
Mounie (5'), Camara (34'), Chardonnet (62')
Apr 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Brest
1-0
Nice
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Nice
1-0
Brest
Laborde (54')
Jan 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
0-3
Nice
Dolberg (13'), Delort (79'), Gouiri (90+3')
Kluivert (25'), Benitez (55'), Todibo (65')
Schneiderlin (20')
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
2-1
Brest
Todibo (45'), Bard (61')
Rosario (72')
Honorat (90+1')
Mbock (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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