Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Firmin-Daudou
Brest logo

Trelissac
1 - 2
Brest

Bisson (75')
Romil (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lala (78' pen.), Satriano (88')
Camara (87'), Lees-Melou (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Trelissac and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trelissac

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Last Game: Fabregues 1-4 Trelissac
Saturday, January 6 at 12pm in Coupe de France
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Brest

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 96.47%. A draw had a probability of 3.1% and a win for Trelissac had a probability of 0.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (16.86%) and 0-2 (14.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.95%), while for a Trelissac win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
TrelissacDrawBrest
0.38% (-0.001 -0)3.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)96.47% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 12.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.46% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)44.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Trelissac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
13.23% (-0.016 -0.02)86.77% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.91% (-0.002 -0)99.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)2.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)10.76%
Score Analysis
    Trelissac 0.38%
    Brest 96.46%
    Draw 3.14%
TrelissacDrawBrest
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 0.38%
0-0 @ 1.95%
1-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 3.14%
0-3 @ 17.76% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 16.86% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 14.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 12.8%
0-6 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-7 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-8 @ 2.09%
1-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-6 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 96.46%

rhs 2.0


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