Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 6, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Joseph Jeanton

Fabregues
1 - 4
Trelissac

Pastorel (27')
Bouchite (12'), Ouabi (77'), Zaghar (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakite (70'), Romil (78' pen., 84'), Pothier (90+2')
Bisson (31')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Fabregues and Trelissac.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fabregues

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Last Game: Chilly FC 0-1 Fabregues
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Coupe de France
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Trelissac

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Last Game: Trelissac 1-1 Marseille (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, January 5 at 1.15pm in Coupe de France
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trelissac win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fabregues had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trelissac win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Fabregues win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trelissac would win this match.

Result
FabreguesDrawTrelissac
20.42% (-0.142 -0.14)22.01% (-0.125 -0.13)57.57% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (0.355 0.35)42.87% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (0.354 0.35)65.27% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Fabregues Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.064000000000007 0.06)34.83% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.067 0.07)71.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Trelissac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.205 0.2)14.64% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (0.393 0.39)42.78% (-0.395 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Fabregues 20.42%
    Trelissac 57.57%
    Draw 22.01%
FabreguesDrawTrelissac
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 20.42%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.41% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.03% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.57%