Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 3
Nice

Wahi (76')
Aguilar (37'), Frankowski (62'), Khusanov (65'), Thomasson (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moffi (11', 67' pen.), Thuram (53')
Thuram (40'), Perraud (46'), Rosario (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Brest
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nice
41.74% ( -0.43)	25.54% ( 0.07)	32.72% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.25% (

-0.19)

48.75% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.14% (

-0.17)

70.85% (

0.17)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

-0.29)

23.2% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

-0.43)

57.09% (

0.43)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

0.14)

28.25% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

0.17)

63.96% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Lens 41.74%

Nice 32.72%

Draw 25.53%

Lens	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.72%