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Ligue 1

Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Montpellier

Nice
1 - 2
Montpellier

Boga (12')
Rosario (42')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Todibo (10' og., 11' og.), Savanier (42' pen.)
Khazri (47'), Leroy (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
54.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)21.41%
Both teams to score 50.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.00099999999999767 0)72.25%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92%38.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16%74.84%
Score Analysis
    Nice 54.53%
    Montpellier HSC 21.41%
    Draw 24.04%
NiceDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Nice vs Montpellier

Nice
75.9%
Draw
19.3%
Montpellier HSC
4.8%
83
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 7.30pm
Round of 16
Montpellier
1-4
Nice
Sagnan (75')
Savanier (34'), Lecomte (61')
Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Rosario (5'), Boudaoui (45+1'), Todibo (71'), Bard (82')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
Savanier (7', 17' pen.)
Barkley (53'), Laborde (67', 79')
Boudaoui (63'), Rosario (88'), Dante (90')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Savanier (80')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 28
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')
Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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