Ligue 1
Gameweek
23
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-
Iliman Ndiaye
31'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
32'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
43'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
62'
-
Amine Harit
65'
-
Falaye Sacko
82'
-
Moussa Al Tamari
5'
-
Issiaga Sylla
32'
-
Silvan Hefti
48'
-
Modibo Sagnan
75'
-
Boubakar Kouyate
87'
Marseille vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
59.15%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
21.26%
▼
(-0.14)
Montpellier HSC
19.59%
▼
(-0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
56.81%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.36%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
40.63%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
36.98%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
63.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
19.77%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
80.23%
▼
(-0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
86.58%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
13.42%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
59.63%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
40.37%
▼
(-0.37)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
65.61%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
34.38%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
28.91%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
71.08%
▲
(+0.38)
Score analysis
Marseille
59.15%
Draw
21.26%
Montpellier HSC
19.59%
Marseille
2-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 59.15%
2-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 59.15%
Draw
1-1
@
9.89%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.26%
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.26%
Montpellier HSC
1-2
@
5.28%
▼
(-0.09)
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 19.59%
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 19.59%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
17
-
Khalil Fayad
14'
-
Christopher Jullien
44'
-
Teji Savanier
90'+3'
-
Jordan Veretout
52'
-
Samuel Gigot
55'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
29
-
Matteo Guendouzi
44'
-
Arnaud Nordin
12'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
17
-
Teji Savanier
90'+1'
-
Nuno Tavares
47'
-
Maxime Esteve
61'
(OG)
Ligue 1
Gameweek
31
-
Bamba Dieng
9'
-
Cengiz Under
19'
-
Jordan Ferri
18'
-
Leo Leroy
66'
-
Jonas Omlin
90'
Coupe de France
-
Arkadiusz Milik
74'
-
Boubacar Kamara
90'+1'
-
Beni Makouana
80'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
1
-
Luan Peres
30'
-
Gaetan Laborde
34'
-
Luan Peres
44'
-
Cengiz Under
68'
-
Dimitri Payet
75'
-
Dimitri Payet
80'