Marseille vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.