/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fshaklog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
27'
-
Yukhym Konoplya
49'
-
Mykola Matviyenko
68'
-
Oleksandr Zubkov
78'
-
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos
90'+2'
-
Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos
90'+3'
-
Valeriy Bondar
90'+4'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
27'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
64'
-
Iliman Ndiaye
90'
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F51%2Fismaila-sarr-iliman-ndiaye.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Shakhtar Donetsk
25.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
23.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Marseille
51.15%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
58.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
42.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
35.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
64.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
18.29%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
81.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
69.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
30.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
33.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
66.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
83.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
16.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
53.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
46.63%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk
25.62%
Draw
23.22%
Marseille
51.15%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1
@
6.49%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 25.62%
1-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 25.62%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.22%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.22%
Marseille
1-2
@
9.66%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 51.15%
0-1 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 51.15%