/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
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Kenny Lala
12'
-
Brendan Chardonnet
35'
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Steve Mounie
60'
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Pierre Lees-Melou
88'
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Julien Le Cardinal
90'+6'
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Leonardo Balerdi
49'
Brest vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fbrest.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.
Result
Brest
40.18%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
27.59%
▼
(-0.08)
Marseille
32.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.5%
▲
(+0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.86%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
57.14%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
21.99%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
78%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
9.51%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 4.5
90.49%
▼
(-0.13)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
72.16%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
27.84%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
36.56%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
63.44%
▼
(-0.25)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
67.21%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
32.79%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
30.64%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
69.35%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Brest
40.17%
Draw
27.58%
Marseille
32.23%
Brest
1-0
@
11.67%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.17%
2-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.17%
Draw
1-1
@
13.01%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.58%
0-0 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.58%
Marseille
0-1
@
10.17%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.23%
1-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.23%