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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo

Lens
1 - 0
Brest

Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-3 Lens
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawBrest
43.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)31.2% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (0.035999999999994 0.04)49.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (0.032 0.03)71.27% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.043999999999997 0.04)29.47% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.052999999999997 0.05)65.48% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lens 43.27%
    Brest 31.2%
    Draw 25.52%
LensDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Lens vs Brest

Lens
29.3%
Draw
36.6%
Brest
34.1%
41
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 1
Brest
3-2
Lens
Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Le Douaron (54')
Gradit (83')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
> Preview