Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 0
Le Havre

Lees-Melou (34')
Del Castillo (52'), Martin (72'), Satriano (76'), Lees-Melou (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Hajjam (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Brest
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Brest	Draw	Le Havre
60.74% ( 0)	23.56% ( 0.14)	15.7% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99% (

-0.72)

56.01% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9% (

-0.59)

77.1% (

0.59)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

-0.26)

18.17% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85% (

-0.45)

49.15% (

0.46)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.87% (

-0.63)

48.14% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.67% (

-0.46)

83.33% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Brest 60.73%

Le Havre 15.7%

Draw 23.55%

Brest	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 60.73%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.7%