Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.