Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 1
Lille

Satriano (79')
Pereira Lage (27'), Lees-Melou (57'), Roy (64'), Locko (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

David (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Brest
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lille
34.55% ( 0.93)	28.56% ( 0.13)	36.89% ( -1.06)

Both teams to score 46.1% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68% (

-0.39)

60.31% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52% (

-0.3)

80.47% (

0.29)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.43)

32.85% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.47)

69.42% (

-0.47)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-0.85)

31.34% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-1)

67.71% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Brest 34.55%

Lille 36.88%

Draw 28.54%

Brest	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.55%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.88%