/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Tiago Santos
21'
-
Jonathan David
54'
-
Remy Cabella
71'
-
Gabriel Gudmundsson
84'
-
Amine Harit
27'
-
Samuel Gigot
52'
-
Quentin Merlin
57'
-
Geoffrey Kondogbia
70'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
77'
-
Ismaily
81'
-
Jordan Veretout
90'+6'
Lille vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F07%2Fmarseille.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
53.77%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
23.54%
▲
(+0.04)
Marseille
22.69%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
53.83%
▼
(-0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.2%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
46.8%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 3.5
30.94%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
69.06%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 4.5
15.33%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
84.67%
▲
(+0.23)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
82.67%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
17.33%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
52.3%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
47.7%
▲
(+0.14)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
65.12%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
34.88%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
28.38%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
71.62%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Lille
53.77%
Draw
23.53%
Marseille
22.69%
Lille
1-0
@
10.59%
▲
(+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.77%
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.77%
Draw
1-1
@
11.15%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
Marseille
0-1
@
6.37%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.69%
Benjamin Andre
32'