Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Villarreal
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nantes
67.47% ( 0.44)	19.1% ( -0.15)	13.43% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 50.3% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.59% (

0.02)

42.41% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

0.02)

64.82% (

-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

0.12)

11.6% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41% (

0.26)

36.59% (

-0.27)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9% (

-0.42)

43.09% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.63% (

-0.36)

79.37% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Marseille 67.45%

Nantes 13.43%

Draw 19.1%

Marseille	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 67.45%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.1%	0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.43%