/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fclelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Muhammed Cham
34'
-
Neto Borges
45'+2'
-
Bilal Boutobba
53'
-
Iliman Ndiaye
23'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
59'
-
Jonathan Clauss
67'
-
Geoffrey Kondogbia
68'
-
Luis Henrique
80'
-
Faris Moumbagna
90'+2'
Clermont vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Clermont
23.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
25.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Marseille
51.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.41%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
52.59%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
25.76%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
74.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
11.84%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
88.16%
▼
(-0.05)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5
62.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
37.12%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
26.09%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
73.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
79.39%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
20.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
46.84%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
53.16%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Clermont
23.74%
Draw
25.21%
Marseille
51.04%
Clermont
1-0
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.74%
2-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.74%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
Marseille
0-1
@
12.08%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 51.04%
0-2 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 51.04%