Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
1 - 5
Marseille

Boutobba (53')
Cham (34'), Borges (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ndiaye (23'), Aubameyang (59'), Clauss (67'), Henrique (80'), Moumbagna (90+2')
Kondogbia (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Marseille
23.74% ( -0.01)	25.21% ( -0.02)	51.05% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

0.09)

52.59% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

0.08)

74.24% (

-0.08)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.88% (

0.04)

37.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.09% (

0.04)

73.91% (

-0.04)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

0.05)

20.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84% (

0.08)

53.16% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Clermont 23.74%

Marseille 51.04%

Draw 25.21%

Clermont	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.74%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.04%