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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Metz logo

Nantes
0 - 2
Metz


Douglas (63'), Castelletto (64'), Cozza (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mikautadze (58' pen.), Udol (60')
Cande (2'), Colin (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Nantes
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lyon
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMetz
42.8% (-0.278 -0.28)25.82% (0.242 0.24)31.39% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.757 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (-0.992 -0.99)50.37% (1.003 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (-0.887 -0.89)72.31% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)23.39% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.829 -0.83)57.38% (0.84 0.84)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (-0.465 -0.47)29.93% (0.475 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (-0.567 -0.57)66.03% (0.577 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 42.8%
    Metz 31.39%
    Draw 25.81%
NantesDrawMetz
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.239 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7% (0.279 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.229 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 31.39%

How you voted: Nantes vs Metz

Nantes
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Metz
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Metz
3-1
Nantes
Van Den Kerkhof (3'), Elisor (28'), Asoro (85')
Simon (12')
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Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Metz
0-0
Nantes
Amadou (59')
Pajot (86')
Cyprien (40'), Traore (51')
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Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
2-0
Metz
Kolo (12'), Blas (49')
Blas (53'), Coco (90')
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Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
2-0
Nantes
Leya Iseka (35'), Boulaya (90+3')
Goncalves (29'), Sarr (85'), Boulaya (89')

Coco (66'), Girotto (90')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
1-1
Metz
Kolo (29')
Abeid (41'), Da Silva (45+4')
Leya Iseka (45+4' pen.)
Fofana (71'), Oukidja (85'), Boye (87')
> Preview