Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
42.8% (![]() | 25.82% (![]() | 31.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% (![]() | 50.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% (![]() | 72.31% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% (![]() | 23.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% (![]() | 29.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% (![]() | 66.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 10.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.26% (![]() 0-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |