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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 2
Nantes

Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')

Preview: Marseille vs. Nantes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Aiming to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to rivals Paris-Saint Germain in Le Classique, Marseille will be looking to tighten their grip on second place with a victory against Nantes on Wednesday.

The visitors, on the other hand, can extend their unbeaten run to four matches with a positive result at the Stade Velodrome.


Match preview

Marseille's Dimitri Payet celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 14, 2022© Reuters

A run of eight consecutive Marseille victories across all competitions came to an end on Sunday when PSG edged out their rivals at the Parc des Princes.

Neymar opened the scoring for the hosts before Les Phoceens restored parity through Duje Caleta-Car in the 31st minute, but PSG went into the break in front after Kylian Mbappe dispatched his spot kick in first-half stoppage time.

Les Phoceens were unable to find an equaliser in the second period, ensuring that the second-placed side would finish the weekend 15 points behind Mauricio Pochettino's charges.

The gap to PSG will not concern Marseille too much, but they will be mindful of those chasing from behind, with Rennes three points adrift of Jorge Sampaoli's side, while Nice are two points further back in fourth position.

Wednesday's hosts will be aiming to keep hold of second place, which would see Marseille qualify for next season's Champions League group stage, and a fifth consecutive home victory in all competitions would certainly help them achieve that goal.

Nantes' Samuel Moutoussamy celebrates scoring their second goal on March 2, 2022© Reuters

The visitors currently occupy 10th spot, and with six points separating them from the top five, they may still harbour hopes of qualifying for European competition.

Although they are unbeaten in their last three matches, back-to-back 1-1 draws have prevented Nantes from closing the gap to the European places, with their most recent point coming from a home encounter with Angers.

Nantes fell behind in the 18th minute, with Sofiane Boufal grabbing the opener for Angers, however, Antoine Kombouare's side secured a point thanks to Kalifa Coulibaly's 53rd-minute equaliser.

Out of the 16 league games that La Maison Jaune have conceded the first goal this season, Sunday's contest was just the fifth time that they have managed to salvage at least a point, and the battling qualities displayed at the weekend will be needed in the final six matches if they are to make an impact on the top five.

A trip to the Stade Velodrome to face a high-quality Marseille team may instil fear into the visitors, but Kombouare will be looking for his players to draw inspiration from the fact that Nantes have won two of their last three away meetings with Les Phoceens.

Marseille Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Marseille form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Nantes Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D


Team News

Marseille's Arkadiusz Milik celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 20, 2022© Reuters

Konrad de La Fuente and Leonardo Balerdi are expected to miss the rest of the season due to knee and shoulder injuries respectively.

Arkadiusz Milik has missed the last five matches for Marseille and the forward is not likely to recover from a thigh problem in time for Wednesday's contest.

Sampaoli is expected to opt for Pau Lopez in goal once again after the Spaniard came into the side on Sunday, while Amine Harit could come into the front three to replace Cengiz Under, who may have to settle for a place on the bench.

The visitors, meanwhile, are without Charles Traore for the rest of the season due to an ACL injury, while a calf issue is set to rule Roli Pereira de Sa out of a third consecutive game.

Jean-Charles Castelletto will also miss out as he serves a one-match suspension, which could result in Dennis Appiah being presented with a starting place for Wednesday's contest.

Kombouare will also be forced into a change in midfield after Pedro Chirivella limped off in the first half of Sunday's encounter, with Wylan Cyprien expected to be named as the 24-year-old's replacement.

Marseille possible starting lineup:
Lopez; Rongier, Saliba, Caleta-Car, Peres; Gueye, Kamara, Guendouzi; Harit, Gerson, Payet

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Fabio, Appiah, Pallois, Merlin; Girotto, Cyprien; Kolo Muani, Blas, Simon; Coulibaly


SM words green background

We say: Marseille 2-1 Nantes

Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
79.3%
Draw
16.9%
Nantes
3.8%
420
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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