Marseille vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.