La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
5 - 1
Granada

Sorloth (7', 19', 66'), Capoue (32'), Guedes (47')
Capoue (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Corbeanu (90+1')
Piatkowski (15'), Sanchez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-3 Villarreal
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Granada had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Granada
59.37% ( -0.26)	21.98% ( 0.14)	18.65% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.72% (

-0.41)

45.28% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.38% (

-0.39)

67.62% (

0.39)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.12% (

-0.22)

14.88% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.78% (

-0.42)

43.22% (

0.42)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.91% (

-0.1)

38.09% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14% (

-0.1)

74.86% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 59.36%

Granada 18.65%

Draw 21.98%

Villarreal	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.36%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.65%