Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.