Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 2
PSG

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vitinha (53'), Ramos (85')
Beraldo (15'), Hernandez (38'), Pereira (40'), Donnarumma (45')
Beraldo (40')

Reaction

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Sunday, March 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
36.92% ( 0.01)	23.83% ( -0)	39.24% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.09% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

0.02)

40.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.58% (

0.02)

62.41% (

-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23% (

0.01)

21.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.04% (

0.02)

54.95% (

-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

0.01)

20.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.8% (

0.01)

53.19% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 36.92%

Paris Saint-Germain 39.24%

Draw 23.82%

Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.92%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.24%