Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
6
HT : 2 2
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Arnaud Nordin 30' goal
  • Teji Savanier 45'+2' goal
  • goal Vitinha 14'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 22'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 38'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 45'+2'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
  • goal Lee Kang-in 53'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 63'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 72'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 89'

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2024 8.00pm
Nice 1 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 12.00pm
PSG 2 - 2 Reims
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 18.91% (-0.27)
Draw 20.43% (+0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain 60.65% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.55% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.21% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 37.79% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 39.96% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 60.03% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 22.11% (-0.55)
Under 4.5 77.88% (+0.54)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 66.6% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 33.4% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 29.97% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 70.02% (+0.71)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 87.91% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 12.09% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 62.37% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 37.63% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 18.91%
Draw 20.43%
Paris Saint-Germain 60.65%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 5.13% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 4.43% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 2.43% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.88% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 18.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.04% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.43%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.88% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.01% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 8.53% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 6.96% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.35% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 3.35% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 60.65%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Lee Kang-in 10' goal
  • Warren Zaire-Emery 58' goal
  • Vitinha 66' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 82' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Arnaud Nordin 89' goal
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 55'
  • goal Lionel Messi 72'
  • goal Warren Zaire-Emery 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Falaye Sacko 39' goal
  • Neymar 43' goal
  • Neymar 51' goal
  • Presnel Kimpembe 60' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 66' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 69' goal
  • Renato Sanches 87' goal
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 58'
  • yellowcard Elye Wahi 63'
  • goal Enzo Tchato Mbiayi 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Arnaud Souquet 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 89' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi 6'
  • goal Lionel Messi 20'
  • goal Angel di Maria 26'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 34'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 60'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 70'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 85'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Idrissa Gueye 14' goal
  • Julian Draxler 88' goal
  • yellowcard Beni Makouana 90'+1'
Coupe de France
May 12, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Gaetan Laborde 45' goal
  • Jordan Ferri 52' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 65' yellowcard
  • Andy Delort 83' goal
  • Teji Savanier 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 10'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 89'
  • yellowcard Neymar 90'