Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 23.54% ( | 21.91% ( | 54.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.49% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.19% ( | 60.81% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( | 14.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 23.54% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.91% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 8% ( 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0-5 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.55% |