Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.