Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
PSG

(Paris Saint-Germain win 4-1 on aggregate)

Merino (89')
Kubo (42'), Zubeldia (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (15', 56')
Mendes (28'), Hakimi (42'), Dembele (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice as Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Champions League quarter-finals courtesy of a 4-1 aggregate win over Real Sociedad.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Monaco 0-0 PSG
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
30.27% ( -2.27)	23.71% ( -0.53)	46.02% ( 2.8)

Both teams to score 60.28% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

1.47)

41.47% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12% (

1.47)

63.87% (

-1.47)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.69)

26.24% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.94)

61.34% (

0.94)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

1.78)

18.27% (

-1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

2.93)

49.32% (

-2.93)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 30.27%

Paris Saint-Germain 46.02%

Draw 23.7%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.27%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.29) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.02%