Champions League
Mar 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Takefusa Kubo 42' yellowcard
  • Igor Zubeldia 54' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 89' goal
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 15'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 28'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 42'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 45'+4'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 56'

Real Sociedad vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 14, 2024 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 0 Real Sociedad

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 14, 2024 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 0 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result

Real Sociedad 30.27% (-2.28)
Draw 23.71% (-0.53)
Paris Saint-Germain 46.02% (+2.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.28% (+0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.52% (+1.47)
Under 2.5 41.47% (-1.48)
Over 3.5 36.12% (+1.48)
Under 3.5 63.87% (-1.48)
Over 4.5 19.11% (+1.11)
Under 4.5 80.88% (-1.11)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 73.76% (-0.70)
Under 0.5 26.24% (+0.70)
Over 1.5 38.65% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 61.34% (+0.95)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 81.73% (+1.78)
Under 0.5 18.27% (-1.78)
Over 1.5 50.67% (+2.94)
Under 1.5 49.32% (-2.94)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 30.27%
Draw 23.7%
Paris Saint-Germain 46.02%
Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.38)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.58)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.48)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.26)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 6.2% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.33)
3-3 @ 1.57% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.25)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.93% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 5.25% (+0.42)
0-3 @ 3.93% (+0.39)
2-3 @ 3.51% (+0.22)
1-4 @ 2.23% (+0.29)
0-4 @ 1.67% (+0.25)
2-4 @ 1.49% (+0.17)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.02%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 14, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 58' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 70' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 36'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 90'+2'