Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 31.86% ( | 27.31% ( | 40.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% ( | 56.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% ( | 77.23% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( | 32.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( | 69.09% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( | 27.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( | 62.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.83% |