Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
38.1% ( -0.44) | 25.16% ( -0.08) | 36.74% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.61% ( 0.4) | 46.39% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.33% ( 0.37) | 68.67% ( -0.37) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -0.05) | 24.01% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( -0.08) | 58.26% ( 0.07) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( 0.47) | 24.74% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( 0.65) | 59.3% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |