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Josko Gvardiol
32'
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Erling Haaland
71'
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Nottingham Forest Goals
Manchester City Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 13.59%
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.22%
0-2 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.51)
1-3 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.30)
0-1 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.53)
1-4 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.22)
2-4 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.17)
1-5 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.10)
0-5 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 69.19%
Head to Head
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Phil Foden
7'
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Phil Foden
7'
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Erling Haaland
14'
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Erling Haaland
14'
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Manuel Akanji
18'
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Manuel Akanji
18'
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Pep Guardiola
19'
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Pep Guardiola
19'
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Rodri
46'
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Ederson
58'
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Jack Grealish
90'+3'
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Nuno Tavares
21'
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Nuno Tavares
21'
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Ibrahim Sangare
45'+1'
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Morgan Gibbs-White
46'
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Ibrahim Sangare
45'+2'
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Taiwo Awoniyi
58'
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Orel Mangala
77'
-
Divock Origi
81'
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Gonzalo Montiel
90'+3'
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Chris Wood
84'
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Bernardo Silva
41'
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Erling Braut Haaland
12'
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Erling Braut Haaland
23'
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Erling Braut Haaland
38'
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Joao Cancelo
50'
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Julian Alvarez
65'
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Julian Alvarez
87'
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Uwe Rosler
16'
-
Kevin Campbell
69'
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Stuart Pearce
80'
-
Jason Lee
10'
-
Steve Stone
31'
-
Jason Lee
33'
-
Jason Lee
46'
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Andrea Silenzi
80'
-
Steve Stone
82'
-
John Foster
4'
-
Uwe Rosler
11'
-
Michael Brown
12'
-
Ian Brightwell
40'
-
Ian Brightwell
41'
-
Keith Curle
88'
-
Stan Collymore
18'
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