Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

Apr 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
0 - 2
Man City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gvardiol (32'), Haaland (71')

Reaction

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates after the match on April 28, 2024

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne breaks Premier League assist record in Nottingham Forest win

Kevin De Bruyne breaks a fresh Premier League assist record after setting up both goals in Manchester City's 2-0 victory at Nottingham Forest on Sunday.

Apr 29, 13:40

Manchester City's Phil Foden celebrates scoring their second goal on April 9, 2024

Pep Guardiola provides Phil Foden fitness update after missing Nottingham Forest match

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola provides a fitness update on Phil Foden after the England international sat out Sunday's 2-0 win over Nottingham Forest.

Apr 28, 22:48

Nottingham Forest head coach Nuno Espirito Santo during Everton game on April 21, 2024.

Nuno Espirito Santo takes positives from Nottingham Forest loss, comments on Chris Wood miss

Nottingham Forest head coach Nuno Espirito Santo suggests he will take the positives from Nottingham Forest's 2-0 defeat to Manchester City in the Premier League.

Apr 28, 19:31

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Manchester City
13.59% ( -0.46)	17.22% ( 0.09)	69.19% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 57.84% (

-1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.07% (

-1.59)

32.93% (

1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.36% (

-1.85)

54.64% (

1.85)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.29% (

-1.69)

36.71% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.5% (

-1.73)

73.5% (

1.73)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.39% (

-0.33)

8.61% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.28% (

-0.81)

29.72% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 13.59%

Manchester City 69.19%

Draw 17.22%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.05% Total : 13.59%	1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.22%	1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.77% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.52) 1-4 @ 4.77% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) 1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.19%