Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 25, 2024 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Joel Veltman 35' yellowcard
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 17'
  • goal Phil Foden 26'
  • goal Phil Foden 34'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 62'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Burnley 1 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Man City 5 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 29.83% (-0.02)
Draw 22.33% (-0.01)
Manchester City 47.84% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.04% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 35.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 42.89% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 57.11% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 24.51% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 75.49% (-0.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 76.65% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.35% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.32% (-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 84.85% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 15.15% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 56.27% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.74% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 29.83%
Draw 22.33%
Manchester City 47.84%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.33%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.19% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 47.84%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Rodri 38' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Solly March 36'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 64'
  • goal Ansu Fati 73'
Premier League Gameweek 32
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Julio Enciso 38' goal
  • goal Phil Foden 25'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Erling Braut Haaland 22' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 43' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 53'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Riyad Mahrez 53' goal
  • Phil Foden 65' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 89'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Jakub Moder 63' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 70' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 81' goal
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 13'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 22'
  • goal Phil Foden 28'
  • goal Phil Foden 31'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 60'
  • yellowcard Ederson 84'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 18, 2021 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 27' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 50' goal
  • Adam Webster 72' goal
  • Dan Burn 76' goal
  • Adam Webster 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 2'
  • redcard Joao Cancelo 10'
  • goal Phil Foden 48'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 73'
  • yellowcard Rodri 79'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 82'

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