Champions League
Apr 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Etihad Stadium
  • Jack Grealish 59' yellowcard
  • Josko Gvardiol 61' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 76' goal
  • Rodri 90' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrygo 12'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 38'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 90'+4'

Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 3 Man City

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 3 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%).

Result

Manchester City 50.75% (+2.19)
Draw 22.46% (-0.42)
Real Madrid 26.78% (-1.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.1% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.06% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 37.94% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 39.8% (+0.69)
Under 3.5 60.2% (-0.69)
Over 4.5 21.98% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 78.02% (-0.55)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 84.82% (+1.01)
Under 0.5 15.18% (-1.01)
Over 1.5 56.2% (+1.87)
Under 1.5 43.8% (-1.86)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 73.21% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 26.79% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 37.92% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 62.07% (+1.17)

Score analysis

Manchester City 50.75%
Draw 22.45%
Real Madrid 26.78%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 7.67% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 5.98% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 4.54% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 3.94% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.82% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 2.14% (+0.22)
4-2 @ 1.86% (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-93.44)
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.45%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.32)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.22)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 1' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 12' goal
  • Rodrygo 14' goal
  • Federico Valverde 79' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 81' yellowcard
  • goal Bernardo Silva 2'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 37'
  • goal Phil Foden 66'
  • goal Josko Gvardiol 71'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 88'
Champions League
May 17, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bernardo Silva 23' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 37' goal
  • Manuel Akanji 76' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 90'+1' goal
Champions League
May 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vinicius Junior 36' goal
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 67'
Champions League
May 4, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Luka Modric 9' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 65' yellowcard
  • Eder Militao 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 90' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+1' goal
  • Karim Benzema 95' goal
  • Federico Valverde 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 9'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 73'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 101'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 113'
Champions League
Apr 26, 2022 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kevin De Bruyne 2' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 11' goal
  • Phil Foden 53' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 54' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 74' goal
  • Fernandinho 81' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 33'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 55'
  • goal Karim Benzema 82'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+3'
Champions League
Aug 7, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raheem Sterling 9' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 68' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 28'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 81'

Build-up

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