Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%).