Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Alfie Doughty 66' goal
  • goal Williot Swedberg 34'
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 84'
  • goal Iago Aspas 89'

Luton Town vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 2 - 2 Luton

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 30, 2024 6.00pm
Lille 3 - 1 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 40.88% (+3.09)
Draw 24.96% (+0.38)
Celta Vigo 34.16% (-3.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% (-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.19% (-2.13)
Under 2.5 45.81% (+2.13)
Over 3.5 31.87% (-2.06)
Under 3.5 68.13% (+2.06)
Over 4.5 15.99% (-1.49)
Under 4.5 84.01% (+1.49)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.66% (+0.61)
Under 0.5 22.34% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 44.17% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 55.83% (-0.91)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 74.06% (-2.91)
Under 0.5 25.95% (+2.91)
Over 1.5 39.05% (-4.09)
Under 1.5 60.95% (+4.09)

Score analysis

Luton Town 40.88%
Draw 24.96%
Celta Vigo 34.16%
Luton Town
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.38)
1-0 @ 8.69% (+0.91)
2-0 @ 6.51% (+0.79)
3-1 @ 4.39% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 3.25% (+0.45)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.64% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 1.22% (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.8% (+0.51)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.48)
0-1 @ 7.82% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.43)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.55)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.36)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.42)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.31)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.16%