Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Celta Vigo
40.88% ( 3.09)	24.96% ( 0.37)	34.16% ( -3.46)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

-2.13)

45.81% (

2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

-2.05)

68.13% (

2.05)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

0.61)

22.34% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

0.9)

55.83% (

-0.9)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

-2.9)

25.95% (

2.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

-4.08)

60.95% (

4.09)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 40.88%

Celta Vigo 34.16%

Draw 24.96%

Luton Town	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.88%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.48) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.16%