Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Celta Vigo
54.09% ( 0.03)	22.72% ( -0.01)	23.2% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.37% (

0.05)

42.63% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.96% (

0.05)

65.04% (

-0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29% (

0.03)

15.72% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.2% (

0.05)

44.8% (

-0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88% (

0.02)

32.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39% (

0.02)

68.61% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lille 54.09%

Celta Vigo 23.2%

Draw 22.71%

Lille	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.09%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.2%