Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stade du Hainaut
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 21' goal
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson 24' goal
  • Mohamed Bayo 33' goal
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 38'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 44'
  • yellowcard Fran Beltran 57'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 88'

Lille vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 3.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Lille

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 5.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Gil Vicente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result

Lille 54.09% (+0.04)
Draw 22.72% (-0.02)
Celta Vigo 23.2% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.37% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 42.63% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 34.96% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 65.04% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.24% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.76% (-0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 84.29% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 15.72% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 55.2% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 44.8% (-0.06)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 67.88% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.61% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lille 54.09%
Draw 22.71%
Celta Vigo 23.2%
Lille
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.71%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 23.2%